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PreviewAll content, scores and forecasts here are illustrative sample data — not reporting, and not measurements.What this means

Agitology
Meta AI5 min readSample

Open-weight models narrow the frontier gap on reasoning tasks

Publicly released weights are reported within a narrow band of closed frontier systems on deliberation-heavy evaluations.

mediumAGI relevance: mediummodelsbusiness

Agitology analysis

Why it matters

A narrowing gap changes who can run capable systems and who can audit them. Both matter for how quickly evidence about capability accumulates outside the labs producing it.

Key developments

  • Gap on deliberation-heavy evaluations narrows to a small band
  • Inference cost remains the practical differentiator
  • Independent auditing of frontier-adjacent capability becomes feasible

Index impact

How this development moved — or failed to move — the dimensions it bears on.

  • +0.3ReasoningRaises confidence more than score — more independent evidence.

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